نوع مقاله : مقاله پژوهشی
نویسندگان
1 دانشجوی دکتری روابط بین‌الملل، دانشکده حقوق و علوم سیاسی، دانشگاه علامه طباطبائی، تهران، ایران (نویسنده مسئول)
2 استادیار گروه روابط بین‌الملل، دانشکده حقوق و علوم سیاسی، دانشگاه علامه طباطبائی، تهران، ایران
چکیده
کلیدواژه‌ها
موضوعات
عنوان مقاله [English]
نویسندگان [English]
Shi’ism in Iraq is one of the key institutions of power, deeply rooted in the country’s culture. Muqtada al-Sadr, one of Iraq’s most influential clerics, has played a significant role in the nation’s politics in recent years; however, the fluidity of Iraq's political landscape and the unpredictable nature of Muqtada al-Sadr's personality make forecasting his political behavior and decisions highly challenging. This study, conducted with a Futures Studies approach, aims to explore the future of the Sadrist Movement in Iraq's 2030 political horizon. According to the research findings, the Sadrist Movement possesses substantial capability for public mobilization and bringing people into the streets, but it lacks specialized expertise in governance. Consequently, it is likely that the movement will strive, on one hand, to attain religious leadership in Iraq and sideline its traditional rivals, and, on the other hand, to influence Iraq’s political future by forming coalitions with forces aligned with some of its policies.
کلیدواژه‌ها [English]
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