Rereading the statement of the second step of the Islamic revolution in the framework of the strategic foresight model of the Association of Professional Futurists

Document Type : Original Article

Authors

1 Department of Cognitive Sciences and Emerging Fields, Supreme National Defense University, Tehran, Iran

2 Strategic Management Faculty, Supreme National Defense University, Tehran, IRAN

Abstract

The statement of the second step of the Islamic Revolution as a strategic document of the Islamic Republic of Iran contains many apparent and covered themes that narrate the thinking system of Ayatollah Khamenei, the supreme leader of the Islamic Revolution of Iran, in the dimension of foresight and futures thinking. Therefore, in this research, an attempt has been made to re-read the document in the framework of well-known models in the field of Futures Studies (FS), to identify and deeply understand and operationally apply the deep strategic themes of the document and create a better futuristic communication. Let the professional researchers of the country to get better communication with the futuristic layers of Ayatollah Khamenei’s thoughts. Based on this and with the aim of identifying the future-oriented and strategic implications in the statement, the six-stage model of strategic foresight of the Association of Professional Futurists was chosen. The document was analyzed with the method of content analysis within the framework of the model "Framing, Scanning, Futuring and visioning, Designing and Adopting". In this research, an attempt was made to extract the futuristic implications in the statement based on the steps of the Hines-Bishop's 6-stage model, using the method of content-adaptive analysis. By coding based on the existing phrase analysis unit (267 categories) in the text of the statement, 43 framing codes, 126 scanning codes, 34 forecasting codes, 27 visioning codes, 12 planning codes and 25 action codes related to each category were extracted. The desired steps were extracted.

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History

  • Receive Date: 15 June 2024
  • Revise Date: 29 July 2023
  • Accept Date: 31 October 2023

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