Document Type : Original Article
Authors
1
PhD Student in Future Studies, Faculty of Strategic Management, Supereme National Defense University, Tehran, Iran (corresponding author)
2
Professor in the Future Studies Department, Faculty of Governance, University of Tehran, Tehran, Iran
Abstract
This study, conducted as a systematic review, aims to identify and analyze the literature on research utilizing the Futures Wheel method. To access relevant studies, articles from reputable international databases such as Foresight, Emerald, ProQuest, Elsevier, Google Scholar, SAGE, Futures, Springer, Wiley, and Scopus were searched using the keyword "Futures Wheel." Similarly, domestic scholarly articles were retrieved from databases like Civilica, the Comprehensive Humanities Portal, Magiran, Irandoc, the Noor Specialized Journals Database, and Elmnet using the same keyword in Persian. In total, 36 articles were initially identified, and subsequently, 14 international and 15 domestic articles were selected for analysis. The results reveal that the fields of health, education, and industrial economics dominate in terms of frequency among both domestic and international studies. Geographically, local and transnational studies are more prevalent. Weaknesses in domestic research include limited diversity in selecting participatory groups, outcome analysis without considering their desirability or potential consequences, and an exclusive focus on identifying outcomes. However, a notable strength is the adherence to the Futures Wheel framework in military-security and health studies, emphasizing the short-term planning implications of the results. This strength appears to stem from the involvement of authors with expertise in Futures Studies. Additionally, while the Futures Wheel served as the primary method, complementary foresight methods such as expert panels, brainstorming, and interviews were also employed.
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