Ph.D. student of future studies of the Supreme National Defense University
Abstract
In addition to various definitions of policy making, various quantitative and qualitative techniques for policymaking have been presented by researchers. However, about which of the techniques is more suitable for which stage of the policymaking process; Notable model is not provided. In this regard, the investigation of the public policy process and the techniques mentioned in it and the study of future research methods were the driving force of the idea of whether it is possible to provide a basis for macro-level policy makers by combining the policy process and future research methods. so that they can use one or more techniques in each policy stage. In other words, the purpose of this article is to explain the relationship between policy making, types of futures and levels of uncertainty and to provide a prescription for each. In this article, with the method of library collection, related documents were identified and the "dynamic adaptive policymaking" method was proposed for policy making in conditions of uncertainty. Then, by interviewing the available experts, the obtained results were approved by the experts.
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