Document Type : Original Article
Authors
1
researcher
2
Supreme National Defense University
Abstract
As China's foreign policy becomes more active, various regions, including the Persian Gulf and the Sea of Oman, will also be affected. So, many questions are raised about the future of China's policy towards this region. With this explanation, it seems that the main question could be, what will be the future of China's presence and influence in the Persian Gulf region and the Oman Sea? In response, firstly, the actors involved in the issue, including the Islamic Republic of Iran, the United States, Saudi Arabia, the United Arab Emirates, Qatar, Kuwait, Oman, India, and the Zionist regime, will be identified. In the following, the upcoming scenarios will be discussed based on four key uncertainties, including the state of American military presence in the region, the state of Iranian-Arab tension, the type of strategic industrial cooperation between Beijing and the Arab countries, and the effectiveness of the maximum pressure campaign against Tehran. Based on this, the future research approach in the form of determining key actors, drivers, key uncertainties and designing scenarios will be the focus of the upcoming article, and at the end, conclusions and recommendations will be expressed.
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