Futures studies in the field of soft threats, considering the various aspects related to driving forces such as social, economic, and political factors, is a multifaceted and dynamic process. In order to counter the export of the Islamic Revolution to other countries and its implications for global imperialism, the enemy initially tested hard warfare. After failing in this area, they adopted soft war, despite its complexities, as a strategy to change Iran’s political system. This study aims to examine the factors influencing the emergence of soft war, as well as to predict its timing and methods of execution. For this purpose, after scenario development, the relationships between different scenarios are analyzed to understand their interconnections in order to effectively address challenges and develop an optimal model for forecasting enemy soft threats. All components in the realm of soft war are quantitatively evaluated by experts, providing results that are both quantitative and comparable.